Publications

Mahato, S; Kundu, B; Makwana, N; Joshi, PK (2023). Early summer temperature anomalies and potential impacts on achieving Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in National Capital Region (NCR) of India. URBAN CLIMATE, 52, 101705.

Abstract
This research aims to investigate the repercussions of an anomalous early summer Land Surface Temperature (LST) surge on food, energy, and human health within the National Capital Region (NCR) of India, with a specific focus on its potential influence on the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). To attain this objective, the study employed various methods to evaluate the magnitude of the deviation in LST. MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) images were utilized to compute the monthly diurnal LST range, and the Standard Anomaly (StA) approach was employed to account for data dispersion. Additionally, Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA) and Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) were conducted to perform regionally specific trend analysis. Furthermore, the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression method was applied to investigate the relationship between StA and crop yields. The findings indicate a significant temperature increase in March, with a deviation of 3.5 degrees C above the average range. Additionally, the study reveals the standard anomaly (StA) of Land Surface Temperature (LST) during March fell within the range of -0.706 to 2.783 degrees C, while in April, it ranged from -0.781 to 3.263 degrees C, and in May, it ranged from -3.001 to 0.525 degrees C. The key significance of the study lies in the impacts of this early summer warming on the attainment of the Sustainable Development Goals. The reduction in crop yields as a result of this warming poses a substantial threat to achieving the SDG-2 target of Zero Hunger. Moreover, the adverse health effects stemming from the early summer warming impede the achievement of the SDG-3.4.1 target. Additionally, the high energy consumption induced by the warming directly affects SDG-6 on affordable and clean energy. The research underscores the critical importance of addressing the impacts of early summer warming to ensure the successful achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals in the National Capital Region of India. Policymakers and stakeholders should take into account the findings of this study to implement targeted strategies that mitigate the adverse effects of early summer warming on food, energy, and human health, and thereby contribute to the realization of the SDGs.

DOI:
10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101705

ISSN: