Publications

Jia, W; Qin, M (2025). APPLICATION OF HIMAWARI-8 SATELLITE IN THE EVALUATION OF THE FORECASTING PERFORMANCE FOR A WEATHER MODIFICATION MODEL WITHIN CHINA CENTRAL REGION. APPLIED ECOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH.

Abstract
To address the issues of limited coverage, low spatiotemporal resolution, and insufficient observational data variables in evaluating the forecasting performance of a weather modification model, this study utilized Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) polar-orbiting satellite data from September to October 2018. It assessed the reliability of cloud products from the Himawari-8 geostationary satellite, known for its high spatiotemporal resolution and extensive coverage, which was applied to evaluate the forecasting capability of the Cloud and Precipitation Explicit Forecasting System (CPEFS) model in cloud fields over the Central Region of China. The results showed that the spatial distributions of cloud top temperature (CTT) and cloud water path (CWP) observed by Himawari-8 and MODIS were consistent, with monthly average spatial anomaly correlation coefficients (ACC) ranged from 0.51 to 0.67 for CTT and 0.68 to 0.69 for CWP. The average ACC between CPEFS model forecasts and Himawari-8 observations was 0.23 for CTT and 0.34 for CWP. The forecasting performance of CTT exhibited greater variability between cases compared to CWP. Overall, the reliability of forecasts was low at the initial stage, increased with lead time, and then declined in later stages. In higher-performing cases, the earlymore

DOI:
10.15666/aeer/2303_54255441

ISSN:
1785-0037